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solonavi 14 August 2007 Global Warming 131 views No Comment Print This Post  Email This Post

BBC

Arctic sea ice is expected to retreat to a record low by the end of this summer, scientists have predicted.

Measurements made by the US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) showed the extent of sea ice on 8 August was almost 30% below the long-term average.

Because the region’s melting season runs until the middle of September, scientists believe this summer will end with the lowest ice cover on record.

Researchers have forecast ice-free summers in the Arctic by 2040.

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A team of scientists from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), the University of Washington, and McGill University, found that “positive feedbacks” were likely to accelerate the decline of the region’s ice system.

Sea ice has a bright surface that reflects 80% of the sunlight that strikes it back into space. However, as the ice melts during the summer, more of the dark ocean surface becomes exposed.

Rather than reflecting sunlight, the ocean absorbs 90% of it, causing the waters to warm and increase the rate of melting.

Scientists fear that this feedback mechanism will have major consequences for wildlife in the region, not least polar bears, which traverse ice-floes in search of food.

On a global scale, the Earth would lose a major reflective surface and so absorb more solar energy, potentially accelerating climatic change across the world.